Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males (2026)

Lesotho is projected to lead the world in probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males at 276.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by Chad (246.24 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and the Central African Republic (234.62 per 1,000 alive at age 15). South Sudan (229.8 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nigeria (228.64 per 1,000 alive at age 15) close out the top 5. Next up, Nauru (212.84 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Somalia (211.11 per 1,000 alive at age 15). Zimbabwe (202.34 per 1,000 alive at age 15), South Africa (199.88 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and Kenya (198.98 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with four from Eastern Africa. Among these countries, Lesotho is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.2%.