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Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males (2026)

237/237 countries
Global82.01per 1,000 alive at age 15Year-over-year-1.73%5-year change-17.84%
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

Top 10 · Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males (2026)

Lesotho is projected to lead the world in probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males at 276.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by Chad (246.24 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and the Central African Republic (234.62 per 1,000 alive at age 15). South Sudan (229.8 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nigeria (228.64 per 1,000 alive at age 15) close out the top 5. Next up, Nauru (212.84 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Somalia (211.11 per 1,000 alive at age 15). Zimbabwe (202.34 per 1,000 alive at age 15), South Africa (199.88 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and Kenya (198.98 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with four from Eastern Africa. Among these countries, Lesotho is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.2%.

Rank changes

How probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males changed between two years

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest male mortality between age 15 and 50?
Monaco is projected to have the lowest male mortality between age 15 and 50 at 10.57 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest male mortality between age 15 and 50?
Lesotho is projected to have the highest male mortality between age 15 and 50 at 276.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global average male mortality between age 15 and 50?
The global average male mortality between age 15 and 50 across 237 countries is projected to be 82.01 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).

Source: UN Population Division (2024) · Updated