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Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males (2026)

237/237 countries
Global84.16per 1,000 alive at age 15
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

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Highest 10 · Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males (2026)

Lesotho is projected to lead the world in probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males at 276.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by Chad (246.24 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and the Central African Republic (234.62 per 1,000 alive at age 15). South Sudan (229.8 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nigeria (228.64 per 1,000 alive at age 15) close out the top 5. Next up, Nauru (212.84 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Somalia (211.11 per 1,000 alive at age 15). Zimbabwe (202.34 per 1,000 alive at age 15), South Africa (199.88 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and Kenya (198.98 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with four from Eastern Africa. Among these countries, Lesotho is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.2%.

Rank changes

How probability of dying between age 15 and 50 for males changed between 2021 and 2026

2021and2026

Key terms

Life expectancy
Average number of years a newborn would live under current mortality conditions.
Infant mortality rate
Deaths of infants under one year per 1,000 live births.
Under-five mortality
Deaths of children under five per 1,000 live births.
Crude death rate
Total deaths per 1,000 people each year.

Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest male mortality between age 15 and 50?
Monaco is projected to have the lowest male mortality between age 15 and 50 at 10.57 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest male mortality between age 15 and 50?
Lesotho is projected to have the highest male mortality between age 15 and 50 at 276.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global male mortality between age 15 and 50?
The global male mortality between age 15 and 50 is projected to be 84.16 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, as published by the United Nations in World Population Prospects 2024.

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