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Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 (both sexes) (2026)

237/237 countries
Global66.49per 1,000 alive at age 15Year-over-year-1.74%5-year change-18.67%
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

Top 10 · Probability of dying between age 15 and 50 (both sexes) (2026)

Lesotho is projected to top the global rankings for probability of dying between age 15 and 50 (both sexes), recording 241.11 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by Nigeria (227.47 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Chad (223.21 per 1,000 alive at age 15). The Central African Republic (211.46 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nauru (199.14 per 1,000 alive at age 15) complete the top 5. South Sudan (191.1 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Kenya (176.36 per 1,000 alive at age 15) follow close behind. Somalia (176.24 per 1,000 alive at age 15), Zimbabwe (174.25 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and South Africa (167.83 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with four from Eastern Africa. Among these countries, Lesotho is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.4%.

Rank changes

How probability of dying between age 15 and 50 (both sexes) changed between two years

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Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes?
Monaco is projected to have the lowest mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes at 9.27 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes?
Lesotho is projected to have the highest mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes at 241.11 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global average mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes?
The global average mortality between age 15 and 50 both sexes across 237 countries is projected to be 66.49 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).

Source: UN Population Division (2024) · Updated