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Risk of dying, 15 to 60 (2026)

237/237 countries

Probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes)

Global131.29per 1,000 alive at age 15
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

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Highest 10 · Probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes) (2026)

Lesotho is projected to lead the world in probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes) at 395.3 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by the Central African Republic (345.55 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nigeria (344.44 per 1,000 alive at age 15). Nauru (339.52 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Chad (339.49 per 1,000 alive at age 15) close out the top 5. Next up, Kenya (307.21 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Zimbabwe (303.17 per 1,000 alive at age 15). South Sudan (297.93 per 1,000 alive at age 15), South Africa (288.58 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and Côte d'Ivoire (287.23 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with three from Eastern Africa.

Rank changes

How probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes) changed between 2021 and 2026

2021and2026

Key terms

Life expectancy
Average number of years a newborn would live under current mortality conditions.
Infant mortality rate
Deaths of infants under one year per 1,000 live births.
Under-five mortality
Deaths of children under five per 1,000 live births.
Crude death rate
Total deaths per 1,000 people each year.

Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest mortality between age 15 and 60?
Monaco is projected to have the lowest mortality between age 15 and 60 at 24.09 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest mortality between age 15 and 60?
Lesotho is projected to have the highest mortality between age 15 and 60 at 395.3 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global mortality between age 15 and 60?
The global mortality between age 15 and 60 is projected to be 131.29 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, as published by the United Nations in World Population Prospects 2024.

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