Probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes) (2026)

Lesotho is projected to lead the world in probability of dying between age 15 and 60 (both sexes) at 395.3 per 1,000 alive at age 15 in 2026, followed by the Central African Republic (345.55 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Nigeria (344.44 per 1,000 alive at age 15). Nauru (339.52 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Chad (339.49 per 1,000 alive at age 15) close out the top 5. Next up, Kenya (307.21 per 1,000 alive at age 15) and Zimbabwe (303.17 per 1,000 alive at age 15). South Sudan (297.93 per 1,000 alive at age 15), South Africa (288.58 per 1,000 alive at age 15), and Côte d'Ivoire (287.23 per 1,000 alive at age 15) round out the top ten. Nine of the top ten are in Africa, with three from Eastern Africa.