Tokelau

1950

2026

2100

Tokelau

1950

2026

2100

Tokelau Population Statistics (2026)

What to know

Population in 2026: 2,691 people.

Growing rapidly at +3.79% per year—one of the faster rates globally.

Projected to reach 4,370 by 2100 (+62% from 2026).

Key statistics for 2026

Total population

2,691

Density

224 people/km²

Median age

27.6 years

Growth rate

+2.60%

Key terms

Population growth rate: — Annual percentage change in total population size.
Population density: — People per square kilometre of land area.
Median age: — Age at which half the population is younger and half is older.
Sex ratio: — Number of males per 100 females in the population.

The trajectory

How fast is the population growing?

Total population from 1950 to 2100 (projections beyond 2024)

At the current growth rate, the population would double in approximately 18 years.

Population structure

How is the population split by gender?

Male and female population with sex ratio trend

No population by gender data available.

In 2026, the sex ratio of 96.1 males per 100 females is below the global average (~101).

Age structure

What does the age structure look like?

Population distribution by 5-year age groups (Projection)

Density & aging

Density

People per square kilometre

Median age

Age where half the population is younger

In 2026, population density of 224 people per km² is moderate by global standards. The median age is projected to rise by 8 years by 2050, from 26.9 in 2026 to 34.8.

Rate of change

How fast is the population changing?

Annual percentage change in population size

Growth peaked at 7.99% in 2017.

The bottom line

Tokelau is experiencing rapid population growth, adding millions of people each year. The population is aging rapidly—median age will rise from 27 in 2026 to 35 by 2050. UN projections show continued growth to 4.4K by 2100.

Tokelau Population Statistics (2026)

What to know

Population in 2026: 2,691 people.

Growing rapidly at +3.79% per year—one of the faster rates globally.

Projected to reach 4,370 by 2100 (+62% from 2026).

Key statistics for 2026

Total population

2,691

Density

224 people/km²

Median age

27.6 years

Growth rate

+2.60%

Key terms

Population growth rate: — Annual percentage change in total population size.
Population density: — People per square kilometre of land area.
Median age: — Age at which half the population is younger and half is older.
Sex ratio: — Number of males per 100 females in the population.

The trajectory

How fast is the population growing?

Total population from 1950 to 2100 (projections beyond 2024)

At the current growth rate, the population would double in approximately 18 years.

Population structure

How is the population split by gender?

Male and female population with sex ratio trend

No population by gender data available.

In 2026, the sex ratio of 96.1 males per 100 females is below the global average (~101).

Age structure

What does the age structure look like?

Population distribution by 5-year age groups (Projection)

Density & aging

Density

People per square kilometre

Median age

Age where half the population is younger

In 2026, population density of 224 people per km² is moderate by global standards. The median age is projected to rise by 8 years by 2050, from 26.9 in 2026 to 34.8.