Probability of dying before age 40 for males (2026)

With 281.24 per 1,000 live births in 2026, Chad leads the world in probability of dying before age 40 for males, followed by Nigeria (270.15 per 1,000 live births) and South Sudan (265.75 per 1,000 live births). The top 5 is rounded off by Somalia (252.16 per 1,000 live births) and Central African Republic (230.55 per 1,000 live births). Further down, Lesotho (214.53 per 1,000 live births) and Guinea (206.64 per 1,000 live births) hold the next two spots. Benin (205.1 per 1,000 live births), Democratic Republic of the Congo (200.15 per 1,000 live births), and Mali (191.32 per 1,000 live births) round out the top ten. Among these countries, Lesotho saw the largest year-over-year change at -2.5%.