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Probability of dying before age 40 for males (2026)

237/237 countries
Global73.43per 1,000 live birthsYear-over-year-2.15%5-year change-13.23%
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

Top 10 · Probability of dying before age 40 for males (2026)

With 281.24 per 1,000 live births in 2026, Chad is projected to lead the world in probability of dying before age 40 for males, followed by Nigeria (270.15 per 1,000 live births) and South Sudan (265.75 per 1,000 live births). The top 5 is rounded off by Somalia (252.16 per 1,000 live births) and the Central African Republic (230.55 per 1,000 live births). Further down, Lesotho (214.53 per 1,000 live births) and Guinea (206.64 per 1,000 live births) hold the next two spots. Benin (205.1 per 1,000 live births), DR Congo (200.15 per 1,000 live births), and Mali (191.32 per 1,000 live births) round out the top ten. Among these countries, Lesotho is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.5%.

Rank changes

How probability of dying before age 40 for males changed between 2021 and 2026

2021and2026

Historical trends

All countries

Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest male mortality before age 40?
San Marino is projected to have the lowest male mortality before age 40 at 8.37 per 1,000 live births in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest male mortality before age 40?
Chad is projected to have the highest male mortality before age 40 at 281.24 per 1,000 live births in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global male mortality before age 40?
Weighted by population, the global male mortality before age 40 is projected to be 73.43 per 1,000 live births in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).

Source: UN Population Division (2024) · Updated