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Rate of natural population change (births minus deaths) (2026)

237/237 countries
Global8.34per 1,000 populationYear-over-year-7.79%5-year change-7.15%
1950
2026
2100

Rankings at a glance

Top 10 · Rate of natural population change (births minus deaths) (2026)

With 35.57 per 1,000 population in 2026, the Central African Republic is projected to lead the world in rate of natural population change (births minus deaths), followed by Niger (31.71 per 1,000 population) and Somalia (31.64 per 1,000 population). The top 5 is rounded off by DR Congo (31.57 per 1,000 population) and Chad (31.25 per 1,000 population). Further down, Mali (30.53 per 1,000 population) and Mayotte (30.35 per 1,000 population) hold the next two spots. Angola (29.64 per 1,000 population), Mozambique (29.39 per 1,000 population), and Uganda (28.46 per 1,000 population) round out the top ten. Among these countries, Chad is projected to see the largest year-over-year change at -2.7%.

Rank changes

How rate of natural population change (births minus deaths) changed between 2025 and 2026

2025and2026

All countries

Frequently asked questions

Which country has the lowest rate of natural change?
The Holy See is projected to have the lowest rate of natural change at -20.28 per 1,000 population in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
Which country has the highest rate of natural change?
The Central African Republic is projected to have the highest rate of natural change at 35.57 per 1,000 population in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).
What is the global average rate of natural change?
The global average rate of natural change across 237 countries is projected to be 8.34 per 1,000 population in 2026, according to UN Population Division (2024).

Source: UN Population Division (2024) · Updated